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Basconia vs Arosa SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gomez X.
73' Event
Uscher X.
85' Event
Rey A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Basconia
35%
Draws
16%
Arosa SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arosa SC lately — more wins on the board than Basconia.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Basconia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 13%
Arosa SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Arosa SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.93 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Basconia vs Arosa SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uscher X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Arosa SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabri Palmas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 84 / 100
Arosa SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Arosa SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Basconia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Arosa SC let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Arosa SC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
10 Oct
Eibar B
1 : 1
Basconia
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 6

Arosa SC

(Away)
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0
Arosa SC
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Sestao 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
4 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
5 Portugalete 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Ourense CF 6 3 1 2 5:7 10
7 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
8 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
9 Amorebieta 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Llanera 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Atletico Astorga 6 2 0 4 9:7 6
13 Marino De Luanco 6 2 0 4 8:12 6
14 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
16 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)