Sport Picks
Basconia vs Portugalete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 
Match Events
14'
14'
Barrera A.
16'
16'
Gomez X.
20'
20'
Garcia J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Basconia and Portugalete finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portugalete
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Portugalete carry the better recent record into this one.
- Basconia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Basconia Clean Sheet 18%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basconia | Portugalete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Basconia vs Portugalete
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Basconia
3:3
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Portugalete
1:1
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Portugalete
0:3
May 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs Basconia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basconia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez X.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torrico A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Portugalete Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrera A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basconia 41 / 100
Portugalete 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basconia Portugalete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basconia scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Basconia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Portugalete has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Basconia VS Portugalete
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Basconia
(Home) 01 Nov
Compostela
0 : 0 Basconia
25 Oct
Basconia
2 : 2 Portugalete
17 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 1 Basconia
10 Oct
Eibar B
1 : 1 Basconia
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1 Llanera
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Basconia
2 : 2 Portugalete
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1 Llanera
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2 Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3 Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 3
Portugalete
(Away) 01 Nov
Portugalete
3 : 3 Arosa SC
25 Oct
Basconia
2 : 2 Portugalete
17 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 0 Eibar B
10 Oct
Amorebieta
1 : 2 Portugalete
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2 Alaves B
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Basconia
2 : 2 Portugalete
10 Oct
Amorebieta
1 : 2 Portugalete
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2 Portugalete
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Portugalete
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1 Portugalete
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestao | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Bergantinos | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Eibar B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Amorebieta | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 6 | Compostela | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Ourense CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo B | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Portugalete | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Gernika Club | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Basconia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 | Coruxo FC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Arosa SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15:20 | 8 |
| 14 | Rayo Cantabria | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Marino De Luanco | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Atletico Astorga | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 17 | Llanera | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:19 | 5 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)
