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Stadium Background

Basconia vs SD Erandio

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 game between Basconia and SD Erandio finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Basconia
30%
Draws
47%
SD Erandio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Erandio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Basconia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Basconia Clean Sheet 20%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia SD Erandio
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 13 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.83 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs SD Erandio
2:0
Sep 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Basconia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 32 / 100
SD Erandio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia SD Erandio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Erandio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

SD Erandio has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Basconia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS SD Erandio
2.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3
Basconia
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Basconia
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SD Erandio

(Away)
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
16 May
Amurrio Club
2 : 2
SD Erandio
10 May
SD Erandio
2 : 4
Arenas Getxo
01 May
SD Erandio
1 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 20 15 3 68:27 75
2 Gernika Club 38 21 12 5 54:21 75
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 11 7 62:31 71
4 SCD Durango 38 20 7 11 43:30 67
5 Beasain 38 18 13 7 52:41 67
6 Zalla UC 38 18 12 8 50:36 66
7 Alaves B 38 16 10 12 52:41 58
8 Real Sociedad C 38 15 12 11 38:32 57
9 Balmaseda 38 16 7 15 43:37 55
10 Santurtzi 38 14 9 15 48:49 51
11 Zamudio 38 13 11 14 53:49 50
12 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 14 7 17 44:48 49
13 Santutxu FC 38 12 10 16 31:43 46
14 Bermeo 38 10 15 13 35:49 45
15 Lagun Onak 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
16 Basconia 38 10 12 16 44:57 42
17 Pasaia 38 10 8 20 35:49 38
18 SD Erandio 38 9 5 24 33:62 32
19 Oiartzun 38 5 11 22 24:55 26
20 Amurrio Club 38 5 9 24 25:72 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)