Sport Picks

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Basconia vs UD Samano

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Lezama Facilities, Lezama
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basconia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Basconia
20%
Draws
16%
UD Samano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Basconia have won more games recently than UD Samano.
  • Model gives Basconia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Basconia Clean Sheet 20%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia UD Samano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 2
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 1.86 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Basconia vs UD Samano
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 85 / 100
UD Samano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia UD Samano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basconia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

UD Samano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: UD Samano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS UD Samano
3 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1
Basconia
22 Aug
Basconia
1 : 3
Valladolid Promesas
15 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 3
Basconia
08 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Basconia
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UD Samano

(Away)
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
UD Samano
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