Sport Picks
Base Abaran vs UCAM Murcia Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Base Abaran and UCAM Murcia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCAM Murcia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UCAM Murcia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- UCAM Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on UCAM Murcia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors UCAM Murcia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Base Abaran Clean Sheet 19%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Base Abaran | UCAM Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs UCAM Murcia
1:2
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Base Abaran
5:0
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs UCAM Murcia
0:1
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Base Abaran
0:1
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs Base Abaran
7:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Base Abaran 10 / 100
UCAM Murcia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Base Abaran UCAM Murcia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UCAM Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Base Abaran scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Base Abaran stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS UCAM Murcia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Base Abaran
(Home) 13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
05 Apr
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Futbol Club Jumilla
25 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Yeclano
17 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 1 Santomera
Page 1 of 4
UCAM Murcia
(Away) 03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5 UCAM Murcia
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2 CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4 UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0 Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5 UCAM Murcia
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4 UCAM Murcia
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
03 May
Xerez CD
1 : 0 UCAM Murcia
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
