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Basel II vs Chiasso

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023
Sat, Apr 1, 2023
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basel II host Chiasso in the Promotion League 2022/2023. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Basel II have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Chiasso's 1.46 scored and 0.92 conceded. Head-to-head, Basel II have won 0 to Chiasso's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.19) point toward Chiasso. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Basel II
15%
Draws
37%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basel II lately — more wins on the board than Chiasso.
  • Model gives Basel II a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Basel II Clean Sheet 20%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel II Chiasso
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.7 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Promotion League
Basel II vs Chiasso
0:0
Sep 24, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Basel II
1:0
Mar 6, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Basel II
2:0
Sep 11, 2021 Promotion League
Basel II vs Chiasso
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel II 49 / 100
Chiasso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel II Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Basel II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chiasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 13 matches.

Scoring Trends

Basel II VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel II

(Home)
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
29 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 3
Basel II
22 Aug
Basel II
2 : 3
Zurich II
18 Aug
Bellinzona
2 : 3
Basel II
08 Aug
Basel II
1 : 2
Grand-Saconnex
Page 1 of 6

Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)