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Basel II vs Grand-Saconnex

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Regillo M.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Basel II and Grand-Saconnex finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grand-Saconnex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Basel II
39%
Draws
31%
Grand-Saconnex
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Basel II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Basel II Clean Sheet 20%
Grand-Saconnex Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel II Grand-Saconnex
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Promotion League
Basel II vs Grand-Saconnex
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Promotion League
Grand-Saconnex vs Basel II
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Grand-Saconnex
2:4
Aug 17, 2024 Promotion League
Grand-Saconnex vs Basel II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Grand-Saconnex Compare

Top Goalscorer Regillo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel II 31 / 100
Grand-Saconnex 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel II Grand-Saconnex

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel II's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Grand-Saconnex let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Basel II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basel II VS Grand-Saconnex
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel II

(Home)
18 Jul
Old Boys
2 : 3
Basel II
30 May
Bruhl SG
1 : 0
Basel II
23 May
Basel II
3 : 0
Vevey
16 May
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Basel II
09 May
Basel II
3 : 1
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

Grand-Saconnex

(Away)
10 Jul
Chenois
0 : 3
Grand-Saconnex
01 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Grand-Saconnex
30 May
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 2
Zurich II
23 May
Schaffhausen
3 : 0
Grand-Saconnex
16 May
Grand-Saconnex
3 : 2
Luzern II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)