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Basel vs Sion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Celar Z.
Assist: Sow A.
45'
Kabacalman A.
45'
Celar Z.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Basel and Sion finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Basel
20%
Draws
51%
Sion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Basel a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Sion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Sion
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.72 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Sion
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Sion
0:2
Feb 12, 2026 Super League
Sion vs Basel
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Sion
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Sion vs Basel
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Celar Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sion Compare

Top Goalscorer Boteli W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 34 / 100
Sion 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Sion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sion let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Basel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Sion
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
01 Nov
Lugano
2 : 1
Basel
25 Oct
Basel
0 : 0
Grasshoppers
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
11 Oct
Vaduz
3 : 0
Basel
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Sion

(Away)
31 Oct
Luzern
1 : 1
Sion
25 Oct
Sion
1 : 0
Lausanne
17 Oct
Cham
0 : 2
Sion
10 Oct
Servette
3 : 0
Sion
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 12 11 1 0 36:10 34
2 Young Boys 12 7 4 1 38:23 25
3 Sion 12 7 2 3 25:18 23
4 Zurich 12 6 2 4 25:26 20
5 St. Gallen 12 6 1 5 19:22 19
6 Servette 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
7 Basel 12 4 2 6 18:22 14
8 Luzern 12 3 4 5 19:25 13
9 Thun 12 4 1 7 24:34 13
10 Vaduz 12 3 1 8 24:25 10
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 4 6 15:28 10
12 Lausanne 12 1 3 8 11:22 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)