Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basel vs St. Gallen

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Gaal T.
10'
Traore B.
13'
Balde A.

AI Match Summary

St. Gallen in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Gallen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Basel
28%
Draws
22%
St. Gallen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • St. Gallen have won more games recently than Basel.
  • Win probability leans Basel's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Gallen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel St. Gallen
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Basel
3:0
Feb 4, 2026 Swiss Cup
St. Gallen vs Basel
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Super League
St. Gallen vs Basel
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Vouilloz N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boukhalfa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 47 / 100
St. Gallen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel St. Gallen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Gallen conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Basel found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Basel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS St. Gallen
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1
Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0
Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3
Yverdon
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

St. Gallen

(Away)
23 Jul
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Benfica
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Norwich
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
01 Jul
Winterthur
0 : 1
St. Gallen
27 Jun
St. Gallen
3 : 2
Altach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thun382431180:5275
2St. Gallen382010872:4770
3Lugano381910959:4267
4Sion381615763:4063
5Basel381681455:5856
6Young Boys3815101380:6955
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)