Sport Picks

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Basel vs St. Gallen

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Basel and St. Gallen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Gallen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Basel
15%
Draws
26%
St. Gallen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Gallen come out ahead of Basel on wins alone.
  • Basel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • St. Gallen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel St. Gallen
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
1:3
May 14, 2026 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Basel
3:0
Feb 4, 2026 Swiss Cup
St. Gallen vs Basel
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 83 / 100
St. Gallen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel St. Gallen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Basel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS St. Gallen
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
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St. Gallen

(Away)
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 23:7 22
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 31:18 19
3 Sion 9 6 1 2 23:14 19
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 Luzern 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
6 Zurich 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
7 Servette 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
9 Grasshoppers 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)