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Basel vs St. Gallen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Balde A.
21'
Michelin C.
26'
Balde A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Basel and St. Gallen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Gallen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Basel
20%
Draws
57%
St. Gallen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Gallen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Gallen come out ahead of Basel on wins alone.
  • St. Gallen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St. Gallen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel St. Gallen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
1:3
May 14, 2026 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Super League
St. Gallen vs Basel
3:0
Feb 4, 2026 Swiss Cup
St. Gallen vs Basel
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Basel vs St. Gallen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Witzig C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 18 / 100
St. Gallen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel St. Gallen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Gallen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

St. Gallen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Basel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS St. Gallen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
01 Nov
Lugano
2 : 1
Basel
25 Oct
Basel
0 : 0
Grasshoppers
16 Oct
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 3
Basel
11 Oct
Vaduz
3 : 0
Basel
03 Oct
Winterthur
7 : 3
Basel
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St. Gallen

(Away)
31 Oct
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Servette
24 Oct
Young Boys
2 : 0
St. Gallen
16 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2
St. Gallen
11 Oct
St. Gallen
1 : 0
Lausanne
03 Oct
Bruhl SG
3 : 3
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 12 11 1 0 36:10 34
2 Young Boys 12 7 4 1 38:23 25
3 Sion 12 7 2 3 25:18 23
4 Zurich 12 6 2 4 25:26 20
5 St. Gallen 12 6 1 5 19:22 19
6 Servette 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
7 Basel 12 4 2 6 18:22 14
8 Luzern 12 3 4 5 19:25 13
9 Thun 12 4 1 7 24:34 13
10 Vaduz 12 3 1 8 24:25 10
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 4 6 15:28 10
12 Lausanne 12 1 3 8 11:22 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)