Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Basel host Thun in the Super League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Basel have averaged 0.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Thun's 2 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Basel have won 3 to Thun's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.94, favoring Thun. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Thun lately — more wins on the board than Basel.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basel | Thun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thun let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Basel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Basel
(Home)Thun
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Thun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | St. Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Basel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Lausanne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 9 | Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 11 | Sion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 12 | Luzern | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
