Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basel vs Thun

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Basel Logo

Basel

4 - 2
FT
Thun Logo

Thun

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sow A.
Assist: Olaigbe K.
31' Event
Sow A.
Assist: Leroy L.
38'
Reichmuth N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Basel in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Basel
20%
Draws
29%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basel lately — more wins on the board than Thun.
  • Model gives Basel a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Thun
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Thun
4:2
May 2, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Thun
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Thun vs Basel
3:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Thun
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Super League
Thun vs Basel
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Celar Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Labeau B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 47 / 100
Thun 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Basel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Thun
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
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Thun

(Away)
16 Sept
Thun
2 : 4
Servette
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 23:7 22
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 Servette 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
6 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
7 Zurich 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
8 Luzern 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
9 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)