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Basel vs Yverdon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Fazliu V.
(Penalty)
78' Event
Ntelo M.
81' Event
Ntelo M.

AI Match Summary

Yverdon in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yverdon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Basel
20%
Draws
47%
Yverdon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Basel haven't matched Yverdon's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Yverdon
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Yverdon
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 Super League
Basel vs Yverdon
5:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Yverdon vs Basel
1:4
Aug 25, 2024 Super League
Basel vs Yverdon
2:0
May 21, 2024 Super League
Basel vs Yverdon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Yverdon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ntelo M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 34 / 100
Yverdon 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Yverdon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yverdon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Yverdon has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Basel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Yverdon
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
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Yverdon

(Away)
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1
Wil
23 Aug
Yverdon
2 : 1
Aarau
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