Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basico Urraca vs Praviano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Gutierrez J.
44' Event
Thompson G.
55' Event
Nuno L.

AI Match Summary

Praviano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Praviano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Basico Urraca
20%
Draws
30%
Praviano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basico Urraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Praviano lately — more wins on the board than Basico Urraca.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 20%
Praviano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basico Urraca Praviano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Praviano
1:4
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Basico Urraca
1:3
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Praviano
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Basico Urraca
1:0
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Praviano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basico Urraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Macia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Praviano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thompson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basico Urraca 32 / 100
Praviano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basico Urraca Praviano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basico Urraca scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Praviano has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Basico Urraca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Praviano
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basico Urraca

(Home)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
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Praviano

(Away)
27 Sept
Langreo
3 : 2
Praviano
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Praviano
1 : 2
L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)