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Basingstoke vs Chesham

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
11' Event
16' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Basingstoke and Chesham finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Basingstoke
35%
Draws
35%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Chesham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chesham are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chesham have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 15%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basingstoke Chesham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.54 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Basingstoke vs Chesham
2:6
Mar 23, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Chesham
1:1
Nov 25, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Basingstoke
2:0
Feb 19, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Chesham vs Basingstoke
2:1
Jan 12, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Chesham
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basingstoke 23 / 100
Chesham 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basingstoke Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basingstoke scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Chesham let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Basingstoke stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basingstoke VS Chesham
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Basingstoke

(Home)
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0
AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1
Bracknell Town
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Chesham

(Away)
19 Sept
Chesham
7 : 2
Ware
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4
Chesham
08 Sept
Chesham
1 : 2
Billericay
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1
Chesham
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
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