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Bassano Virtus vs Montebelluna Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 Stadio Rino Mercante, Bassano del Grappa
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Olonisakin T.
40' Event
Chinellato M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bassano Virtus
35%
Draws
26%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montebelluna lately — more wins on the board than Bassano Virtus.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Bassano Virtus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bassano Virtus Montebelluna
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 15 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Montebelluna
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Bassano Virtus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bassano Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Olonisakin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Montebelluna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bassano Virtus 77 / 100
Montebelluna 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bassano Virtus Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bassano Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bassano Virtus found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Montebelluna has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bassano Virtus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bassano Virtus VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bassano Virtus

(Home)
27 Sept
Bassano Virtus
2 : 0
Schio
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Bassano Virtus
1 : 2
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
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Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)