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Bassin d'Arcachon vs Saumur Olympique

France France

Coupe de France 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bassin d'Arcachon play Saumur Olympique in the Coupe de France 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bassin d'Arcachon averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Saumur Olympique averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Bassin d'Arcachon won 1, Saumur Olympique won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 18, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Bassin d'Arcachon and 1.56 for Saumur Olympique. This points to a Bassin d'Arcachon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bassin d'Arcachon
25%
Draws
29%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Bassin d'Arcachon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Bassin d'Arcachon picked up more points recently compared to Saumur Olympique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Bassin d'Arcachon Clean Sheet 15%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bassin d'Arcachon Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 0 10
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.91 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Coupe de France
Bassin d'Arcachon vs Saumur Olympique
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bassin d'Arcachon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bointchea N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gassama A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Saumur Olympique Compare

Top Goalscorer Kipre C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bassin d'Arcachon 44 / 100
Saumur Olympique 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bassin d'Arcachon Saumur Olympique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bassin d'Arcachon or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bassin d'Arcachon attacking → ← attacking Saumur Olympique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bassin d'Arcachon scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Saumur Olympique let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bassin d'Arcachon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75