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Bastia vs Amiens SC

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bastia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bastia
20%
Draws
40%
Amiens SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Amiens SC haven't matched Bastia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bastia Clean Sheet 17%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Amiens SC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Amiens SC
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Bastia
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Bastia vs Amiens SC
4:2
Jan 17, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs Bastia
1:0
Aug 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Amiens SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 31 / 100
Amiens SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Amiens SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amiens SC has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Bastia scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bastia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS Amiens SC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Bastia
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Jul
Bastia
2 : 2
Annecy
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Amiens SC

(Away)
29 Aug
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Versailles
20 Aug
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Amiens SC
14 Aug
Amiens SC
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
07 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 0
Amiens SC
31 Jul
Amiens SC
3 : 1
Red Star
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