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Bastia vs Le Puy-en-Velay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Cisse I.
21'
Seidou E.
23'
Fatahine A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Bastia and Le Puy-en-Velay finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Puy-en-Velay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bastia
30%
Draws
41%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Le Puy-en-Velay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Le Puy-en-Velay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Le Puy-en-Velay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bastia Clean Sheet 23%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bastia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Faty M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emmanuel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 29 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Puy-en-Velay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastia scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bastia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS Le Puy-en-Velay
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 7

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)