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Bastia vs Quevilly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastia host Quevilly in the Ligue 3. This one's hard to separate. Quevilly have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Bastia have conceded 1.29 and scored 0.96. Head-to-head, Bastia have won 2 to Quevilly's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Bastia. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bastia
35%
Draws
35%
Quevilly
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Quevilly lately — more wins on the board than Bastia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bastia Clean Sheet 20%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Quevilly
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Quevilly vs Bastia
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Quevilly
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Quevilly
0:1
Jan 10, 2023 Ligue 2
Quevilly vs Bastia
1:1
Jan 8, 2022 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Quevilly
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 32 / 100
Quevilly 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Quevilly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastia's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Quevilly has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Bastia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS Quevilly
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

Quevilly

(Away)
03 Oct
Cannes
3 : 1
Quevilly
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Quevilly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)