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Bastia vs Versailles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
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Match Events

6' Event
Calvet R.
Assist: Guillaume S.
13' Event
Rodrigues C.
Assist: Eickmayer J.
21'
Calvet R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Bastia and Versailles finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bastia
30%
Draws
47%
Versailles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Versailles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Versailles a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bastia Clean Sheet 16%
Versailles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Versailles
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Versailles
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvet R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santini J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 23 / 100
Versailles 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Versailles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Versailles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Bastia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Versailles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Bastia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS Versailles
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 7

Versailles

(Away)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)