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Bastia vs Versailles

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Calvet R.
Assist: Guillaume S.
13' Event
Rodrigues C.
Assist: Eickmayer J.
21'
Calvet R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Bastia and Versailles finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bastia
20%
Draws
51%
Versailles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Versailles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bastia Clean Sheet 15%
Versailles Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastia Versailles
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Versailles
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvet R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santini J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastia 31 / 100
Versailles 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastia Versailles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Bastia's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Versailles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Bastia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bastia VS Versailles
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bastia

(Home)
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Bastia
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Jul
Bastia
2 : 2
Annecy
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1
Bastia
Page 1 of 6

Versailles

(Away)
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
14 Aug
Versailles
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Versailles
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
22 Jul
Le Mans
3 : 1
Versailles
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Rouen 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 La Roche Vendee 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Caen 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Orleans 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
7 Versailles 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
8 Paris 13 Atletico 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
9 Concarneau 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Cannes 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
11 Villefranche 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12 Bastia 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Valenciennes 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Bourg Peronnas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Fleury-Merogis 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Amiens SC 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
17 Quevilly 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Aubagne FC 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)