Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bastion Illichivsk vs Bukovyna

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastion Illichivsk play Bukovyna in the Druha Liga 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bastion Illichivsk averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. Bukovyna averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Bastion Illichivsk won 1, Bukovyna won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2010 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Bastion Illichivsk and 1.61 for Bukovyna. This points to a Bukovyna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bastion Illichivsk
15%
Draws
48%
Bukovyna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bukovyna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Bastion Illichivsk picked up more points recently compared to Bukovyna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 14%
Bukovyna Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastion Illichivsk Bukovyna
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 24
Draws 6 1
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.86 2.29
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.82

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2010 Druha Liga
Bukovyna vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:0
Sep 19, 2009 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs Bukovyna
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastion Illichivsk 36 / 100
Bukovyna 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastion Illichivsk Bukovyna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bukovyna or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bastion Illichivsk attacking → ← attacking Bukovyna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastion Illichivsk scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Bukovyna let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bastion Illichivsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bukovyna lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 73
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bukovyna20153235:1248
2Nyva Vinnytsya20124443:1640
3Bastion Illichivsk20117244:2040
4MFK Mykolaiv20116330:1339
5FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi20103728:1633
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9Veres Rivne20441216:4116
10Karpaty Lviv 220511417:4316
11Skala Stryj20131611:406
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