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Bastion Illichivsk vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastion Illichivsk play FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi in the Druha Liga 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bastion Illichivsk averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Bastion Illichivsk won 2, FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 9, 2010 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Bastion Illichivsk and 0.74 for FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi. This points to a Bastion Illichivsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bastion Illichivsk
31%
Draws
17%
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Bastion Illichivsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Bastion Illichivsk picked up more points recently compared to FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 27%
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastion Illichivsk FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 1.86 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2010 Druha Liga
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi vs Bastion Illichivsk
0:2
Jul 24, 2010 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
0:0
Oct 24, 2009 Druha Liga
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:2
Aug 8, 2009 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastion Illichivsk 52 / 100
FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastion Illichivsk FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bastion Illichivsk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bastion Illichivsk attacking → ← attacking FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastion Illichivsk scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Bastion Illichivsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 12
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bukovyna20153235:1248
2Nyva Vinnytsya20124443:1640
3Bastion Illichivsk20117244:2040
4MFK Mykolaiv20116330:1339
5FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi20103728:1633
6Yednist2085722:2129
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10Karpaty Lviv 220511417:4316
11Skala Stryj20131611:406
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