Sport Picks
Bastion Illichivsk vs MFK Mykolaiv
Ukraine
Druha Liga 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
The Druha Liga 2009/2010 game between Bastion Illichivsk and MFK Mykolaiv finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bastion Illichivsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- MFK Mykolaiv haven't matched Bastion Illichivsk's recent run of results.
- Model gives Bastion Illichivsk a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 20%
MFK Mykolaiv Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bastion Illichivsk | MFK Mykolaiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 5 |
| Wins | 16 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2011 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs MFK Mykolaiv
0:2
Sep 4, 2010 Druha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:0
May 29, 2010 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs MFK Mykolaiv
2:2
Oct 10, 2009 Druha Liga
MFK Mykolaiv vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bastion Illichivsk 85 / 100
MFK Mykolaiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bastion Illichivsk MFK Mykolaiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bastion Illichivsk scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
MFK Mykolaiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 5 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Solid form: Bastion Illichivsk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS MFK Mykolaiv
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bastion Illichivsk
(Home) 25 Jul
Hvardiyets Hvardiyske
: Bastion Illichivsk
04 Jun
Bastion Illichivsk
1 : 1 Desna
28 May
Yednist
1 : 2 Bastion Illichivsk
21 May
Bastion Illichivsk
: Veres Rivne
14 May
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
2 : 3 Bastion Illichivsk
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Bastion Illichivsk
1 : 1 Desna
21 May
Bastion Illichivsk
: Veres Rivne
07 May
Bastion Illichivsk
0 : 2 MFK Mykolaiv
16 Apr
Bastion Illichivsk
4 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
16 Oct
Bastion Illichivsk
1 : 0 Nova Kakhovka
Page 1 of 3
MFK Mykolaiv
(Away) 28 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
5 : 0 MFK Mykolaiv
06 Nov
MFK Mykolaiv
1 : 1 Real Pharma Odesa
07 May
Bastion Illichivsk
0 : 2 MFK Mykolaiv
04 Sept
MFK Mykolaiv
1 : 0 Bastion Illichivsk
29 May
Bastion Illichivsk
2 : 2 MFK Mykolaiv
28 Jul
Karpaty Lviv
5 : 0 MFK Mykolaiv
07 May
Bastion Illichivsk
0 : 2 MFK Mykolaiv
29 May
Bastion Illichivsk
2 : 2 MFK Mykolaiv
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 35:12 | 48 |
| 2 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43:16 | 40 |
| 3 | Bastion Illichivsk | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 44:20 | 40 |
| 4 | MFK Mykolaiv | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 30:13 | 39 |
| 5 | FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28:16 | 33 |
| 6 | Yednist | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 29 |
| 7 | FC Ros Bila Tserkva | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18:30 | 21 |
| 8 | Lviv 2 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 13:25 | 19 |
| 9 | Veres Rivne | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16:41 | 16 |
| 10 | Karpaty Lviv 2 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 17:43 | 16 |
| 11 | Skala Stryj | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11:40 | 6 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titan A. | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 50:20 | 66 |
| 2 | Kremin | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41:21 | 54 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 34:16 | 54 |
| 4 | Stal Kamianske | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:23 | 51 |
| 5 | Olimpik Donetsk | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45:28 | 49 |
| 6 | Shakhter Sverdlovsk | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 26:15 | 46 |
| 7 | Shakhtar 3 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 36 |
| 8 | Sumy | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 9 | Kryvbas Krivoy Rog | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29:43 | 28 |
| 10 | Olkom Melitopol | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31:42 | 26 |
| 11 | Hirnyk-Sport | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21:35 | 22 |
| 12 | FC Mariupol II | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:40 | 15 |
| 13 | FC Dnipro 75 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:21 | 14 |
| 14 | SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 18:66 | 10 |
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)