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Bastion Illichivsk vs Skala Stryj

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastion Illichivsk play Skala Stryj in the Druha Liga 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bastion Illichivsk averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. Skala Stryj averaged 1 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Bastion Illichivsk won 3, Skala Stryj won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 23, 2010 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Bastion Illichivsk and 0.74 for Skala Stryj. This points to a Bastion Illichivsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bastion Illichivsk
21%
Draws
33%
Skala Stryj
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Bastion Illichivsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Bastion Illichivsk picked up more points recently compared to Skala Stryj.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 27%
Skala Stryj Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastion Illichivsk Skala Stryj
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2010 Druha Liga
Skala Stryj vs Bastion Illichivsk
0:0
Aug 7, 2010 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs Skala Stryj
2:0
May 1, 2010 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs Skala Stryj
5:0
Sep 13, 2009 Druha Liga
Skala Stryj vs Bastion Illichivsk
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastion Illichivsk 47 / 100
Skala Stryj 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastion Illichivsk Skala Stryj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bastion Illichivsk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bastion Illichivsk attacking → ← attacking Skala Stryj

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastion Illichivsk scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Skala Stryj let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bastion Illichivsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Skala Stryj lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bukovyna20153235:1248
2Nyva Vinnytsya20124443:1640
3Bastion Illichivsk20117244:2040
4MFK Mykolaiv20116330:1339
5FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi20103728:1633
6Yednist2085722:2129
7FC Ros Bila Tserkva20631118:3021
8Lviv 22047913:2519
9Veres Rivne20441216:4116
10Karpaty Lviv 220511417:4316
11Skala Stryj20131611:406
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