Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bastion Illichivsk vs Yednist

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastion Illichivsk play Yednist in the Druha Liga 2010/2011. Bastion Illichivsk are favorites here. Recently, Bastion Illichivsk averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. Yednist averaged 0.94 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Bastion Illichivsk won 4, Yednist won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2011 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Bastion Illichivsk and 0.93 for Yednist. This points to a Bastion Illichivsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bastion Illichivsk
15%
Draws
15%
Yednist
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bastion Illichivsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bastion Illichivsk picked up more points recently compared to Yednist.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 24%
Yednist Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bastion Illichivsk Yednist
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.86 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2011 Druha Liga
Yednist vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:2
Sep 25, 2010 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs Yednist
3:0
Apr 3, 2010 Druha Liga
Yednist vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:2
Nov 1, 2009 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs Yednist
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bastion Illichivsk 68 / 100
Yednist 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bastion Illichivsk Yednist

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bastion Illichivsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bastion Illichivsk & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bastion Illichivsk attacking → ← attacking Yednist

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bastion Illichivsk scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Yednist let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Bastion Illichivsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yednist lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1MFK Mykolaiv22153429:1248
2Sumy22143538:1345
3Nova Kakhovka22135438:1744
4Bastion Illichivsk22134538:1643
5Desna22124638:2440
6Ch. Odesa 222106627:1736
7Skala Stryj22105726:1935
8Yednist221021039:2632
9FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi22741119:2922
10Nyva Ternopil22521517:5114
11FC Ros Bila Tserkva22321720:588
12Veres Rivne2200224:51-3
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpik Donetsk22172345:1553
2SC Poltava22153441:2148
3Kremin22134537:2043
4Stal Kamianske22107532:1837
5Kryvbas Krivoy Rog22105732:2635
6Shakhter Sverdlovsk22103925:3033
7Shakhtar 32285938:3729
8FC Mariupol II22901320:3727
9Hirnyk-Sport22641217:2922
10SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 222541318:4319
11Olkom Melitopol22521521:2217
12Dnipro II22331613:419