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Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bataguassu in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bataguassu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bataguassu
40%
Draws
29%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bataguassu lately — more wins on the board than Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 12%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bataguassu Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Matches Played 25 19
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Bataguassu
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Bataguassu vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 30 / 100
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bataguassu Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bataguassu's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana has conceded goals in 68% of their last 19 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bataguassu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bataguassu

(Home)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

(Away)
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
15 Feb
Ivinhema
1 : 0
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
07 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 : 1
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bataguassu1072127:923
2Clube de Regatas Aquidauana1072123:723
3Maracaju1044212:1316
4Comercial MS1024412:1710
5Esporte Clube Taveiropolis1020811:256
6Sao Gabriel MS101276:205
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