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Bataguassu vs Comercial MS Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
Bataguassu Logo

Bataguassu

0 - 0
FT
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 game between Bataguassu and Comercial MS finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bataguassu
20%
Draws
57%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bataguassu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Comercial MS a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bataguassu Comercial MS
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.16 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Bataguassu
2:4
Aug 31, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Bataguassu vs Comercial MS
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 26 / 100
Comercial MS 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bataguassu Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bataguassu found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (25 games).

Comercial MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Bataguassu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Comercial MS
1.75 Goals Scored 1.57
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Bataguassu

(Home)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Comercial MS

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bataguassu 10 7 2 1 27:9 23
2 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
3 Maracaju 10 4 4 2 12:13 16
4 Comercial MS 10 2 4 4 12:17 10
5 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 10 2 0 8 11:25 6
6 Sao Gabriel MS 10 1 2 7 6:20 5
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