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Bataguassu vs Naviraiense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naviraiense in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naviraiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bataguassu
39%
Draws
31%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bataguassu haven't matched Naviraiense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bataguassu have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bataguassu Naviraiense
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Naviraiense vs Bataguassu
0:4
Mar 15, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Naviraiense
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Naviraiense
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bataguassu 29 / 100
Naviraiense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bataguassu Naviraiense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bataguassu scored in 92% of their last 25 games.

Naviraiense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Bataguassu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bataguassu VS Naviraiense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS-
TBD-
Corumbaense3
Dourados1
Naviraiense-
TBD-
Ivinhema5
Bataguassu6
Semi-finals
Operario MS4
Corumbaense2
Naviraiense1
Bataguassu4
Final
Operario MS5
Bataguassu2