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Batalhao vs Guarai SC

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Batalhao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Batalhao
30%
Draws
12%
Guarai SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Batalhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarai SC come out ahead of Batalhao on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Batalhao taking it.
  • Guarai SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Batalhao, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Batalhao Clean Sheet 10%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Batalhao Guarai SC
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.96 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 2.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Batalhao
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Batalhao vs Guarai SC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Batalhao 83 / 100
Guarai SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Batalhao Guarai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Batalhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Batalhao scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Guarai SC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Batalhao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Batalhao VS Guarai SC
2.67 Goals Scored 3.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
67% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Batalhao

(Home)
15 Mar
Tocantinopolis
4 : 2
Batalhao
08 Mar
Batalhao
1 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
01 Mar
Tocantins
0 : 5
Batalhao
23 Feb
Batalhao
2 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
15 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 0
Batalhao
Page 1 of 6

Guarai SC

(Away)
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Guarai SC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SD Sparta 2
Araguaia (TO) 1
Bela Vista-TO 4
Sao Jose (TO) 2
Batalhao 5
Araguacema 4
Interporto 2
Guarai SC 4
Semi-finals
SD Sparta 1
Bela Vista-TO 2
Batalhao 5
Guarai SC 1
Final
Bela Vista-TO 5
Batalhao 2