Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit

BATE

Thu, Jul 16, 2026

1 - 0

05:00 PM

AF Elbasani

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Epitaux Y.

17'

Neskoromnyi N.

42'

Varaksa V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

BATE

35%

Draws

32%

AF Elbasani

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and AF Elbasani come out ahead of BATE on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on BATE taking it.
AF Elbasani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor BATE, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

BATE Clean Sheet 20%

AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	BATE	AF Elbasani
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	11
Draws	10	7
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.46
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League

BATE vs AF Elbasani

1:0

Jul 7, 2026 Conference League

AF Elbasani vs BATE

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 42 / 100

AF Elbasani 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

BATE AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

BATE scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: BATE remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS AF Elbasani

0.75 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

(Home)

13 Sept

BATE

2 : 2

Naftan

07 Sept

Dynamo Brest

1 : 0

BATE

03 Sept

Isloch Minsk

2 : 0

BATE

30 Aug

BATE

2 : 1

FC Minsk

23 Aug

ML Vitebsk

0 : 0

BATE

Page 1 of 6

AF Elbasani

(Away)

13 Sept

AF Elbasani

2 : 1

KF Egnatia

06 Sept

Dinamo City

2 : 1

AF Elbasani

29 Aug

AF Elbasani

1 : 1

Vllaznia

22 Aug

Laci

1 : 1

AF Elbasani

06 Aug

AF Elbasani

1 : 3

Partizani

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka -

TBD -

Petrocub Hincesti -

ML Vitebsk -

TBD -

Sutjeska -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana -

TBD -

Drita -

Flora -

TBD -

TNS -

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Bissen -

TBD -

Gyor -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Motherwell -

TBD -

HB Torshavn -

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir -

TBD -

FK Sarajevo 2

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz -

TBD -

Mornar Bar 2

Atletic Escaldes 4

Debrecen -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

Pyunik Yerevan 4

Polissya Zhytomyr -

TBD -

FC Copenhagen -

Hearts -

TBD -

FC Hegelmann 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

Zira FK 6

Torpedo Kutaisi 0

Penybont 0

FC Santa Coloma 4

TBD -

Rapid Vienna -

Alashkert 4

Yelimay Semey 3

TBD -

CFR Cluj -

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Mondorf 2

Dinamo Tbilisi 3

Petrovac 2

Zalgiris 5

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Valletta -

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks -

TBD -

Panathinaikos -

Spartak Trnava -

TBD -

CSKA 1948 Sofia -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg -

TBD -

Caernarfon 0

Levadia 10

LNZ Cherkasy -

TBD -

Gent -

Vllaznia 2

Malisheva 6

TBD -

Hibernian -

Bravo -

TBD -

Europa FC 0

Shkendija Tetovo 6

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj -

TBD -

Brann -

Dila Gori 3

Virtus 2

TBD -

Apollon Limassol -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Ludogorets -

Zilina -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Bohemians 2

St Josephs 0

Connahs Q. 2

FC Ballkani 3

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka -

TBD -

Derry City -

Vikingur 3

Stjarnan 5

Differdange 1

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Glentoran 1

RFS 4

TBD -

Vestri -

Valur -

TBD -

Zrinjski -

GAIS -

TBD -

Nordsjaelland -

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Aluminij -

TBD -

Dinamo City 4

FC Astana 2

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau -

TBD -

Noah -

AF Elbasani 1

BATE 2

TBD -

Sion -

Vojvodina -

TBD -

Ajax -

Shelbourne -

TBD -

Kalju 3

Linfield 2

Zeleznicar Pancevo -

TBD -

Braga -

Neftci Baku -

TBD -

Din. Minsk 2

Sileks 1

AEK Larnaca -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Decic 1

FK Liepaja 3

TBD -

Austria Vienna -

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda -

TBD -

Velez Mostar 2

Milsami 1

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan -

TBD -

UNA Strassen 3

La Fiorita 0

FK Panevezys -

TBD -

Tobol -

Lugano -

TBD -

Dukagjini -

NSI Runavik 3

Hamrun 2

TBD -

Koper -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Quarter-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 6

Petrocub Hincesti 3

ML Vitebsk 5

Sutjeska 1

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana 2

Drita 3

Flora 2

TNS 1

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Vardar 4

Riga FC 8

Bissen 3

Gyor 7

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 8

Coleraine 0

Motherwell 5

HB Torshavn 0

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir 1

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz 6

Atletic Escaldes 0

Debrecen 1

Pyunik Yerevan 0

Polissya Zhytomyr 4

FC Copenhagen 5

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Zira FK 1

FC Santa Coloma 3

Rapid Vienna 9

Alashkert 1

CFR Cluj 4

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Dinamo Tbilisi 5

Zalgiris 7

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa 7

Valletta 1

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks 3

Panathinaikos 4

Spartak Trnava 0

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 4

Levadia 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

Gent 1

Malisheva 3

Hibernian 4

Bravo 3

Shkendija Tetovo 4

PAOK -

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj 3

Brann 5

Dila Gori 0

Apollon Limassol 7

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 4

Ludogorets 2

Zilina 3

GKS Katowice 4

Bohemians 5

FC Ballkani 4

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka 2

Derry City 0

Stjarnan 2

Ilves 3

Rangers -

TBD -

Varazdin 3

Jablonec 4

RFS 5

Vestri 2

Valur 3

Zrinjski 2

GAIS 1

Nordsjaelland 6

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB 3

FK Auda Riga 7

Aluminij 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Zimbru Chisinau 2

Noah 3

BATE 1

Sion 5

Vojvodina 2

Ajax 8

Shelbourne 6

Kalju 4

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0

Braga 5

Neftci Baku 3

Din. Minsk 4

AEK Larnaca 3

Beitar Jerusalem 4

FK Liepaja 1

Austria Vienna 5

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda 4

Velez Mostar 0

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

UNA Strassen 0

FK Panevezys 2

Tobol 3

Lugano 6

Dukagjini 1

NSI Runavik 4

Koper 3

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Semi-finals

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 3

ML Vitebsk 2

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KuPS -

Tre Fiori 1

Drita 9

Flora 0

Inter Escaldes 6

Klaksvik -

TBD -

Riga FC 2

Gyor 1

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Larne -

HJK 1

Motherwell 3

TBD -

Freiburg -

Gornik Zabrze -

TBD -

Monaco -

Inter Turku 4

Vaduz 3

Debrecen 1

FC Copenhagen 8

Hearts -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Rapid Vienna 6

CFR Cluj 1

Tromso 7

TBD -

Brighton -

Zalgiris 2

Hajduk Split 9

Rakow Czestochowa 1

Hammarby 0

Panathinaikos 3

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

IFK Goteborg 1

Gent 2

Hibernian 2

Shkendija Tetovo 1

PAOK -

TBD -

Brann 4

Apollon Limassol 3

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

GKS Katowice 2

Bohemians 2

Midtjylland 5

Rijeka 2

Ilves 1

Rangers -

TBD -

Jablonec 4

RFS 1

Valur 0

Nordsjaelland 7

Sheriff Tiraspol 2

St. Gallen 8

FK Auda Riga 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Pafos -

Noah 3

Sion 4

Ajax 5

Shelbourne 3

Braga 1

Din. Minsk 0

Beitar Jerusalem 3

Austria Vienna 4

Twente 9

Dun. Streda 3

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

Tobol 1

Lugano 4

NSI Runavik 2

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Final

Vikingur Reykjavik 2

Borac Banja Luka 6

Shamrock Rovers 1

KuPS 2

Drita 2

Inter Escaldes 3

Klaksvik 1

Riga FC 2

Lincoln Red Imps 3

Larne 2

Motherwell 2

Freiburg 7

Gornik Zabrze 3

Monaco 7

Inter Turku 1

FC Copenhagen 4

Hearts 5

Rapid Vienna 4

Tromso 0

Brighton 4

Hajduk Split 5

Rakow Czestochowa 4

Panathinaikos 4

Hradec Kralove 3

Gent 3

Hibernian 2

PAOK 3

Brann 4

Atalanta 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0

Midtjylland 6

Rijeka 1

Rangers 1

Jablonec 2

Nordsjaelland 4

St. Gallen 2

Dinamo City 3

Pafos 5

Sion 5

Ajax 9

Braga 2

Austria Vienna 0

Twente 4

Qarabag Agdam 2

Getafe 4

Partizan 3

Lugano 3

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

BATE vs AF Elbasani

Europe

BATE

AF Elbasani

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

AF Elbasani

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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