Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BATE vs AF Elbasani

Europe Europe

Conference League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
1 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Epitaux Y.
17'
Neskoromnyi N.
42'
Varaksa V.

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between BATE and AF Elbasani finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BATE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
BATE
22%
Draws
60%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AF Elbasani come out ahead of BATE on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on AF Elbasani taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
BATE Clean Sheet 22%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BATE AF Elbasani
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
BATE vs AF Elbasani
1:0
Jul 7, 2026 Conference League
AF Elbasani vs BATE
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 21 / 100
AF Elbasani 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BATE AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

BATE found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: BATE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS AF Elbasani
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Drita-
Vardar-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-