Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Potapenko A.
55'
55'
Yarmolich A.
Assist: Grivenev E.
57'
57'
Martynov T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BATE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- BATE have won more games recently than Dnepr Mogilev.
- BATE are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
BATE Clean Sheet 20%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BATE | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE
1:1
Apr 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:3
Aug 21, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BATE Compare
Top Goalscorer Yarmolich A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Dnepr Mogilev Compare
Top Goalscorer Gitselev Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BATE 36 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BATE Dnepr Mogilev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dnepr Mogilev let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: BATE scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: BATE remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
BATE VS Dnepr Mogilev
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
BATE
(Home) 19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0 BATE
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0 BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0 BATE
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2 Naftan
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1 FC Minsk
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0 Vitebsk
23 Jul
BATE
1 : 1 Sion
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0 AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 3
Dnepr Mogilev
(Away) 20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
