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Stadium Background

BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Borisov Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Potapenko A.
55' Event
Yarmolich A.
Assist: Grivenev E.
57'
Martynov T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
BATE
20%
Draws
38%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BATE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • BATE have won more games recently than Dnepr Mogilev.
  • BATE are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
BATE Clean Sheet 19%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BATE Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE
1:1
Apr 19, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:3
Aug 21, 2022 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Yarmolich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Gitselev Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 42 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BATE Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Dnepr Mogilev registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

BATE found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

BATE VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1575321:1326
5Dynamo Brest1573524:1524
6Zhodino1565423:1323
7FC Minsk1564521:2022
8Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1556418:2121
9Neman1563616:1521
10Vitebsk1555516:1620
11FK Baranovici1544715:2616
12Slavia Mozyr1536614:2215
13Dnepr Mogilev1525812:2211
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316