Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BATE vs Naftan

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Neskoromnyi N.
38' Event
Puerto E.
Assist: Kovalev Y.
42'
Adamovich K.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between BATE and Naftan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
BATE
15%
Draws
0%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BATE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • BATE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans BATE's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
BATE Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BATE Naftan
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Naftan
2:2
May 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs BATE
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Naftan
5:0
Jul 25, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Naftan vs BATE
3:4
Jun 29, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs BATE
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Neskoromnyi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puerto E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanishin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 85 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BATE Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BATE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naftan conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Naftan's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: BATE stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS Naftan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

(Home)
07 Sept
Dynamo Brest
1 : 0
BATE
03 Sept
Isloch Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
30 Aug
BATE
2 : 1
FC Minsk
23 Aug
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
BATE
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0
Vitebsk
Page 1 of 7

Naftan

(Away)
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
22 Aug
Naftan
0 : 2
Neman
15 Aug
FC Gomel
6 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 21 13 6 2 36:16 45
2 ML Vitebsk 19 11 7 1 36:15 40
3 Din. Minsk 19 12 4 3 35:15 40
4 FC Gomel 22 10 6 6 31:18 36
5 Neman 21 10 4 7 24:19 34
6 Dynamo Brest 21 10 4 7 33:21 34
7 FC Minsk 22 10 4 8 30:26 34
8 Vitebsk 22 9 6 7 22:21 33
9 Zhodino 21 7 6 8 28:23 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 21 6 7 8 23:25 25
11 FK Baranovici 22 6 7 9 24:36 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 22 5 8 9 23:36 23
13 Belshina 21 4 6 11 20:36 18
14 BATE 20 3 8 9 14:23 17
15 Dnepr Mogilev 21 2 9 10 17:31 15
16 Naftan 21 2 4 15 17:52 10
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)