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BATE vs Naftan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Borisov Arena, Barysaw
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Match Events

13' Event
Neskoromnyi N.
38' Event
Puerto E.
Assist: Kovalev Y.
42'
Adamovich K.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between BATE and Naftan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
BATE
15%
Draws
59%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naftan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • BATE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
BATE Clean Sheet 20%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BATE Naftan
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.82 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Naftan
2:2
May 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs BATE
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Naftan
5:0
Jul 25, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Naftan vs BATE
3:4
Jun 29, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Naftan vs BATE
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Neskoromnyi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puerto E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanishin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 32 / 100
Naftan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BATE Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naftan conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

BATE's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: BATE stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS Naftan
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

(Home)
30 Oct
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 : 0
BATE
24 Oct
BATE
0 : 1
Belshina
18 Oct
Dnepr Mogilev
2 : 1
BATE
14 Oct
BATE
0 : 2
Neman
10 Oct
BATE
2 : 1
Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 7

Naftan

(Away)
24 Oct
Naftan
0 : 6
Isloch Minsk
19 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 0
Naftan
10 Oct
Naftan
4 : 1
Belshina
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk 26 18 4 4 50:22 58
2 ML Vitebsk 26 16 8 2 52:19 56
3 Isloch Minsk 26 16 7 3 48:20 55
4 Dynamo Brest 26 14 5 7 45:26 47
5 Neman 26 13 4 9 32:25 43
6 Vitebsk 26 11 7 8 29:23 40
7 FC Gomel 26 11 7 8 37:27 40
8 FC Minsk 26 10 4 12 33:36 34
9 Zhodino 26 9 6 11 32:35 33
10 Slavia Mozyr 26 8 7 11 33:35 31
11 FK Baranovici 26 7 7 12 27:43 28
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 27 6 9 12 25:44 27
13 Belshina 26 6 6 14 28:47 24
14 BATE 27 4 9 14 19:34 21
15 Dnepr Mogilev 26 3 11 12 24:40 20
16 Naftan 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)