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BATE vs Vitebsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Borisov Arena, Barysaw
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Rodionov K.
25'
Sub
Sakuta M. In: Dubovskiy P.
Out: Sakuta M.
44'
Yatskevich V.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between BATE and Vitebsk finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BATE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
BATE
20%
Draws
58%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Vitebsk taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
BATE Clean Sheet 18%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BATE Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Vitebsk
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs BATE
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
BATE vs Vitebsk
1:5
Mar 15, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs BATE
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Vitebsk vs BATE
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BATE Compare

Top Goalscorer Puerto E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vitebsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BATE 10 / 100
Vitebsk 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BATE Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

BATE found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vitebsk conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

BATE went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BATE VS Vitebsk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BATE

(Home)
18 Oct
Dnepr Mogilev
2 : 1
BATE
14 Oct
BATE
0 : 2
Neman
10 Oct
BATE
2 : 1
Slavia Mozyr
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
19 Sept
Din. Minsk
2 : 0
BATE
Page 1 of 6

Vitebsk

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Baranovici
0 : 1
Vitebsk
11 Oct
Vitebsk
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ML Vitebsk 24 15 8 1 50:18 53
2 Din. Minsk 24 16 4 4 45:19 52
3 Isloch Minsk 24 14 7 3 41:20 49
4 Dynamo Brest 25 13 5 7 41:25 44
5 Neman 25 13 4 8 31:21 43
6 Vitebsk 25 11 7 7 29:21 40
7 FC Gomel 25 11 7 7 36:25 40
8 FC Minsk 25 10 4 11 32:33 34
9 Zhodino 25 9 6 10 30:31 33
10 Slavia Mozyr 25 7 7 11 29:33 28
11 FK Baranovici 25 6 7 12 24:42 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 25 5 8 12 24:44 23
13 BATE 25 4 9 12 19:32 21
14 Belshina 24 5 6 13 25:44 21
15 Dnepr Mogilev 25 3 10 12 24:40 19
16 Naftan 25 4 5 16 24:56 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)