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Bath City vs Gosport Borough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South Twerton Park, Bath
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bowman M.
52' Event
Bodin B.
81' Event
Campbell K.

AI Match Summary

Gosport Borough in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gosport Borough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bath City
20%
Draws
32%
Gosport Borough
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gosport Borough at 1.44 per game, Bath City at 1.31.
  • Win probability leans Bath City's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bath City Clean Sheet 20%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bath City Gosport Borough
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Bath City vs Gosport Borough
1:2
Nov 27, 2019 FA Trophy
Gosport Borough vs Bath City
2:3
Nov 23, 2019 FA Trophy
Bath City vs Gosport Borough
0:0
Mar 21, 2017 National League South
Gosport Borough vs Bath City
1:0
Sep 13, 2016 National League South
Bath City vs Gosport Borough
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bath City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gosport Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodin B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bath City 58 / 100
Gosport Borough 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bath City Gosport Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bath City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Bath City scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Bath City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bath City VS Gosport Borough
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bath City

(Home)
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3
Bath City
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Bath City
0 : 2
Weymouth
Page 1 of 6

Gosport Borough

(Away)
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3
Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)