Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baumberg vs Cronenberger

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Sarikaya B.

AI Match Summary

Baumberg in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baumberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Baumberg
20%
Draws
23%
Cronenberger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cronenberger haven't matched Baumberg's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Baumberg taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 12%
Cronenberger Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumberg Cronenberger
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Cronenberger
1:0
Nov 27, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Cronenberger vs Baumberg
0:3
Feb 20, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Cronenberger vs Baumberg
1:3
Apr 18, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Cronenberger
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
Cronenberger vs Baumberg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baumberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarikaya B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Cronenberger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumberg 83 / 100
Cronenberger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumberg Cronenberger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baumberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cronenberger has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Baumberg's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Baumberg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baumberg VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumberg

(Home)
06 Sept
Solingen-Wald
1 : 4
Baumberg
30 Aug
Baumberg
2 : 1
Uerdingen
23 Aug
Meerbusch
2 : 4
Baumberg
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
18 Jul
Baumberg
0 : 7
Bayer Leverkusen
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Cronenberger

(Away)
23 Jul
Fortuna Koln II
2 : 1
Cronenberger
19 Jul
TVD Velbert
0 : 2
Cronenberger
04 Jun
SC St.Tonis
2 : 2
Cronenberger
29 May
Cronenberger
2 : 4
Union Nettetal
20 May
Baumberg
1 : 0
Cronenberger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SSVg Velbert 40 29 7 4 93:33 94
2 Hilden 40 23 10 7 89:45 79
3 TVD Velbert 40 23 9 8 86:46 78
4 Germania Ratingen 40 22 8 10 79:55 74
5 SW Essen 40 22 7 11 84:52 73
6 Uerdingen 40 21 9 10 80:58 72
7 Schonnebeck 40 19 4 17 84:70 61
8 Meerbusch 40 16 11 13 81:67 59
9 Baumberg 40 16 10 14 78:54 58
10 Hamborn 40 16 8 16 77:79 56
11 Union Nettetal 40 15 10 15 65:72 55
12 Homberg 40 14 12 14 68:57 54
13 Sonsbeck 40 14 11 15 71:68 53
14 SC St.Tonis 40 13 14 13 59:60 53
15 Kleve 40 14 10 16 67:77 52
16 MSV Dusseldorf 40 12 14 14 71:68 50
17 FC Monheim 40 10 12 18 58:76 42
18 Cronenberger 40 8 6 26 38:87 30
19 TuRU Dusseldorf 40 7 8 25 35:85 29
20 Kray 40 6 6 28 47:110 24
21 FSV Duisburg 40 4 6 30 36:127 18
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)