Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baumberg vs Holzheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baumberg host Holzheim in the Oberliga Niederrhein. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Holzheim have shipped 2.59 goals a game lately, while Baumberg have conceded 2.14 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Holzheim slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 1.56, favoring Holzheim. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Baumberg
20%
Draws
30%
Holzheim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Baumberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Baumberg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 15%
Holzheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumberg Holzheim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Holzheim vs Baumberg
4:2
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Holzheim
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumberg 66 / 100
Holzheim 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumberg Holzheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baumberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holzheim let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Baumberg scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Baumberg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baumberg VS Holzheim
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumberg

(Home)
25 Oct
Baumberg
2 : 1
Dingden
16 Oct
Buderich
0 : 0
Baumberg
11 Oct
Baumberg
3 : 3
Schonnebeck
02 Oct
Wuppertaler
4 : 0
Baumberg
27 Sept
Baumberg
1 : 2
Germania Ratingen
Page 1 of 6

Holzheim

(Away)
25 Oct
SSVg Velbert
4 : 1
Holzheim
18 Oct
SC St.Tonis
1 : 0
Holzheim
11 Oct
Holzheim
1 : 4
Dingden
04 Oct
Buderich
2 : 3
Holzheim
25 Sept
Holzheim
0 : 3
Schonnebeck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 11 9 2 0 42:15 29
2 SSVg Velbert 11 9 0 2 32:18 27
3 Dusseldorf II 12 7 3 2 26:12 24
4 Wuppertaler 12 6 1 5 22:13 19
5 Baumberg 11 5 4 2 23:20 19
6 FC Monheim 11 5 3 3 22:15 18
7 SC St.Tonis 11 5 3 3 21:16 18
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 11 5 2 4 23:23 17
9 Sonsbeck 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
10 Dingden 11 5 1 5 15:16 16
11 Germania Ratingen 11 3 6 2 22:21 15
12 Solingen-Wald 11 5 0 6 22:27 15
13 Uerdingen 11 4 2 5 22:14 14
14 Scherpenberg 11 3 2 6 15:25 11
15 Buderich 11 1 4 6 12:29 7
16 SW Essen 11 1 3 7 12:26 6
17 Meerbusch 12 1 3 8 15:30 6
18 Holzheim 12 1 1 10 13:40 4
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)