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Baumberg vs Homberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
Baumberg Logo

Baumberg

2 - 2
FT
Homberg Logo

Homberg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 game between Baumberg and Homberg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Baumberg
20%
Draws
29%
Homberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baumberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baumberg come out ahead of Homberg on wins alone.
  • Baumberg are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Baumberg Clean Sheet 11%
Homberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumberg Homberg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Homberg
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Baumberg
4:2
Mar 30, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Homberg
1:4
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Homberg vs Baumberg
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
Baumberg vs Homberg
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumberg 56 / 100
Homberg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumberg Homberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baumberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Baumberg scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Homberg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Baumberg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baumberg VS Homberg
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumberg

(Home)
15 Aug
Baumberg
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
18 Jul
Baumberg
0 : 7
Bayer Leverkusen
07 Jun
Buderich
3 : 1
Baumberg
31 May
Baumberg
7 : 1
SV Biemenhorst
17 May
Sonsbeck
2 : 4
Baumberg
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Homberg

(Away)
19 Jul
Homberg
3 : 3
Dusseldorf II
07 Jun
Homberg
1 : 2
Kleve
30 May
Schonnebeck
4 : 0
Homberg
17 May
Homberg
5 : 1
Dingden
08 May
Germania Ratingen
3 : 1
Homberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)