Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baumholder vs Worms

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kasper D.
25' Event
Shehada A.
43' Event
Alles N.

AI Match Summary

Worms in this Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Worms.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Baumholder
15%
Draws
51%
Worms
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worms

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Worms average 2.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Baumholder's 1.67.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Baumholder Clean Sheet 10%
Worms Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baumholder Worms
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.67 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Baumholder vs Worms
2:5
Aug 5, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Worms vs Baumholder
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baumholder Compare

Top Goalscorer Alles N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schindler N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Worms Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasper D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shehada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baumholder 30 / 100
Worms 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baumholder Worms

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baumholder's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Worms conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Worms's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Worms
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Baumholder

(Home)
02 Jun
Cosmos Koblenz
1 : 2
Baumholder
18 May
Baumholder
1 : 3
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
10 May
Waldalgesheim
2 : 0
Baumholder
04 May
Baumholder
1 : 1
Engers
01 May
Mechtersheim
3 : 1
Baumholder
Page 1 of 6

Worms

(Away)
05 Sept
Worms
5 : 1
RW Wittlich
29 Aug
Gonsenheim
6 : 2
Worms
22 Aug
Worms
1 : 2
Auersmacher
14 Aug
Elversberg II
1 : 0
Worms
08 Aug
Worms
4 : 0
Pirmasens
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Trier 38 32 3 3 115:34 99
2 Gonsenheim 38 24 6 8 96:48 78
3 Pirmasens 38 22 6 10 92:46 72
4 Kaiserslautern II 38 20 8 10 89:66 68
5 Worms 38 19 9 10 74:51 66
6 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 38 19 4 15 72:58 61
7 Auersmacher 38 19 4 15 64:65 61
8 Morlautern 38 16 10 12 65:68 58
9 Diefflen 38 17 4 17 77:82 55
10 Engers 38 15 9 14 78:65 54
11 Arminia Ludwigshafen 38 14 9 15 63:81 51
12 Karbach 38 16 3 19 70:93 51
13 Mechtersheim 38 12 12 14 67:58 48
14 Cosmos Koblenz 38 13 8 17 72:67 47
15 Waldalgesheim 38 11 11 16 43:62 44
16 Dudenhofen 38 11 9 18 59:66 42
17 Baumholder 38 9 8 21 56:83 35
18 SpVgg Quierschied 38 7 9 22 40:81 30
19 Pfeddersheim 38 9 3 26 46:102 30
20 Bitburg 38 5 5 28 49:111 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)