Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baunatal vs Erlensee

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Krengel P.
40' Event
Recker L.
71' Event
Lindenthal L.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 game between Baunatal and Erlensee finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baunatal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Baunatal
30%
Draws
35%
Erlensee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baunatal come out ahead of Erlensee on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Baunatal's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Baunatal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Baunatal Clean Sheet 14%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baunatal Erlensee
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.73 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Erlensee
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Baunatal
1:2
May 13, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Erlensee
3:2
Oct 22, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Baunatal
1:3
Oct 30, 2021 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs Baunatal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baunatal Compare

Top Goalscorer Krengel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Recker L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Erlensee Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baunatal 75 / 100
Erlensee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baunatal Erlensee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baunatal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baunatal's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Erlensee let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Baunatal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baunatal VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baunatal

(Home)
16 Aug
Baunatal
1 : 1
Darmstadt U21
12 Aug
CSC 03 Kassel
3 : 1
Baunatal
08 Aug
Baunatal
0 : 0
Giessen
31 Jul
Hadamar
2 : 1
Baunatal
30 May
Baunatal
1 : 1
Stadtallendorf
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Erlensee

(Away)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)