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Baunatal vs Viktoria Griesheim Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Fischer M.

AI Match Summary

Baunatal in this Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baunatal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Baunatal
30%
Draws
23%
Viktoria Griesheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baunatal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baunatal lately — more wins on the board than Viktoria Griesheim.
  • Model gives Baunatal a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Baunatal Clean Sheet 17%
Viktoria Griesheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baunatal Viktoria Griesheim
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Viktoria Griesheim
1:0
Sep 3, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Viktoria Griesheim vs Baunatal
0:2
Nov 27, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Viktoria Griesheim vs Baunatal
1:0
Aug 13, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs Viktoria Griesheim
2:0
May 1, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
Viktoria Griesheim vs Baunatal
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baunatal Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Viktoria Griesheim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baunatal 39 / 100
Viktoria Griesheim 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baunatal Viktoria Griesheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baunatal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baunatal scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Viktoria Griesheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Baunatal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baunatal VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baunatal

(Home)
26 Sept
Hunfelder
2 : 3
Baunatal
19 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 0
Baunatal
12 Sept
Baunatal
0 : 3
Stadtallendorf
09 Sept
Baunatal
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
06 Sept
Pohlheim
2 : 3
Baunatal
Page 1 of 6

Viktoria Griesheim

(Away)
26 Jan
Alzenau
2 : 0
Viktoria Griesheim
08 Jun
Viktoria Griesheim
2 : 2
Bad Soden
05 Jun
Bad Soden
5 : 4
Viktoria Griesheim
01 Jun
Viktoria Griesheim
2 : 1
Waldgirmes
26 May
RW Walldorf
0 : 0
Viktoria Griesheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)