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Bautzen vs Meuselwitz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bautzen host Meuselwitz in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bautzen have averaged 1.64 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Meuselwitz's 1.86 scored and 1.54 conceded. Past meetings favor Meuselwitz slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2019, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.81, favoring Meuselwitz. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bautzen
30%
Draws
43%
Meuselwitz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Meuselwitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bautzen haven't matched Meuselwitz's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 11%
Meuselwitz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bautzen Meuselwitz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2019 Regionalliga Nordost
Bautzen vs Meuselwitz
1:2
Nov 24, 2018 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Bautzen
2:0
Mar 21, 2018 Regionalliga Nordost
Bautzen vs Meuselwitz
1:1
Sep 10, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Bautzen
0:1
May 20, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
Meuselwitz vs Bautzen
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bautzen 30 / 100
Meuselwitz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bautzen Meuselwitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meuselwitz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Meuselwitz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bautzen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bautzen VS Meuselwitz
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bautzen

(Home)
11 Oct
Bautzen
2 : 0
SSC Weissenfels
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
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Meuselwitz

(Away)
11 Oct
Halle
0 : 3
Meuselwitz
26 Sept
Meuselwitz
1 : 1
Halberstadt
18 Sept
1.FC Frankfurt
2 : 5
Meuselwitz
11 Sept
Sandersdorf
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
30 Aug
Meuselwitz
3 : 2
SSC Weissenfels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 7 6 1 0 23:4 19
2 Meuselwitz 7 6 1 0 16:5 19
3 Eilenburg 7 5 1 1 25:10 16
4 Auerbach 7 4 2 1 16:8 14
5 Halle 7 4 0 3 15:14 12
6 Dresden II 7 2 5 0 11:6 11
7 Plauen 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
8 SSC Weissenfels 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
9 Bautzen 7 2 3 2 10:13 9
10 Sandersdorf 7 2 1 4 16:13 7
11 Freital 7 1 4 2 12:13 7
12 Einheit Wernigerode 7 1 4 2 12:18 7
13 Krieschow 7 1 2 4 7:18 5
14 Glauchau 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
15 1.FC Frankfurt 7 1 0 6 7:26 3
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 7 0 2 5 5:20 2
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