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Bavarian United SC vs St. Croix

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USL League Two 2023
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AI Match Summary

Bavarian United SC in this USL League Two 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bavarian United SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Bavarian United SC
17%
Draws
70%
St. Croix
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: St. Croix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Croix have won more games recently than Bavarian United SC.
  • Model gives St. Croix a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bavarian United SC Clean Sheet 20%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavarian United SC St. Croix
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2024 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Bavarian United SC
3:3
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs St. Croix
1:4
Jun 24, 2023 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs St. Croix
4:1
May 21, 2023 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Bavarian United SC
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavarian United SC 16 / 100
St. Croix 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavarian United SC St. Croix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Croix conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Bavarian United SC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Bavarian United SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Croix
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%