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Bavois vs Basel II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Rodrigues M.
Own Goal
76' Event
Senaya E.

AI Match Summary

Basel II in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bavois
15%
Draws
59%
Basel II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Basel II have won more games recently than Bavois.
  • Model gives Basel II a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bavois Clean Sheet 13%
Basel II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavois Basel II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Basel II
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bavois
1:4
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Bavois
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Basel II
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Basel II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bavois Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Basel II Compare

Top Goalscorer Senaya E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavois 11 / 100
Basel II 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavois Basel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bavois scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Basel II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Bavois went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bavois VS Basel II
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bavois

(Home)
05 Sept
Bavois
3 : 0
Bulle
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
22 Aug
Bavois
0 : 0
Bruhl SG
19 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
1 : 0
Bavois
15 Aug
Bavois
0 : 7
Servette
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Basel II

(Away)
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
29 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 3
Basel II
22 Aug
Basel II
2 : 3
Zurich II
18 Aug
Bellinzona
2 : 3
Basel II
08 Aug
Basel II
1 : 2
Grand-Saconnex
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)