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Bavois vs Chiasso

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2022/2023
Sat, May 13, 2023
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bavois host Chiasso in the Promotion League 2022/2023. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Bavois at 1.68 goals for, 1.61 against; Chiasso at 1.46 for, 0.92 against. Head-to-head, Bavois have won 1 to Chiasso's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 13, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.63, favoring Chiasso. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bavois
30%
Draws
54%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bavois lately — more wins on the board than Chiasso.
  • Chiasso are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Promotion League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bavois Clean Sheet 14%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavois Chiasso
Matches Played 31 13
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.68 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Promotion League
Bavois vs Chiasso
0:0
Nov 5, 2022 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Bavois
0:2
Apr 30, 2022 Promotion League
Bavois vs Chiasso
0:1
Nov 14, 2021 Promotion League
Chiasso vs Bavois
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavois 11 / 100
Chiasso 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavois Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiasso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bavois scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Chiasso let in goals in 54% of their last 13 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Bavois went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bavois VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bavois

(Home)
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
22 Aug
Bavois
0 : 0
Bruhl SG
19 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
1 : 0
Bavois
15 Aug
Bavois
0 : 7
Servette
08 Aug
Bavois
2 : 2
Zurich II
Page 1 of 7

Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzern II 34 24 4 6 95:53 74
2 Stade Nyonnais 34 21 5 8 83:45 66
3 Baden 34 18 6 10 61:48 58
4 Cham 34 17 5 12 60:47 54
5 Rapperswil-Jona 34 17 5 12 59:54 54
6 Etoile-Carouge 34 15 9 10 63:38 52
7 Bruhl SG 34 14 12 8 59:45 52
8 Breitenrain 34 15 8 11 57:57 51
9 Basel II 34 12 10 12 53:57 44
10 Kriens 34 13 6 15 53:58 43
11 Young Boys II 34 11 8 15 64:67 39
12 Zurich II 34 11 7 16 53:56 38
13 Bulle 34 11 6 17 49:57 37
14 Bavois 34 10 9 15 45:65 37
15 St. Gallen II 34 9 7 18 57:86 32
16 Biel 34 6 10 18 32:60 26
17 Young Fellows Juventus 34 4 5 25 27:77 15
18 Chiasso 34 0 34 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation)