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Bavois vs Grand-Saconnex

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bavois play Grand-Saconnex in the Promotion League 2025/2026. Grand-Saconnex are favorites here. Recently, Bavois averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Grand-Saconnex averaged 2.28 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Bavois won 2, Grand-Saconnex won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Bavois and 1.00 for Grand-Saconnex. This points to a Grand-Saconnex double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Bavois
25%
Draws
60%
Grand-Saconnex
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Grand-Saconnex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Bavois picked up more points recently compared to Grand-Saconnex.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bavois Clean Sheet 23%
Grand-Saconnex Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavois Grand-Saconnex
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.9 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Grand-Saconnex
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Promotion League
Grand-Saconnex vs Bavois
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Promotion League
Grand-Saconnex vs Bavois
5:1
Aug 10, 2024 Promotion League
Bavois vs Grand-Saconnex
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Clement L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Grand-Saconnex Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavois 18 / 100
Grand-Saconnex 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavois Grand-Saconnex

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grand-Saconnex Win (2)
Secondary Pick Grand-Saconnex & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bavois attacking → ← attacking Grand-Saconnex

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bavois scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Grand-Saconnex let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bavois went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Grand-Saconnex lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 55
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132