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Bavois vs Zurich II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Bavois play Zurich II in the Promotion League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bavois averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Zurich II averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Bavois won 3, Zurich II won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Bavois and 1.94 for Zurich II. This points to a Bavois double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bavois
15%
Draws
38%
Zurich II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bavois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Bavois picked up more points recently compared to Zurich II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%
Zurich II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bavois Zurich II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Promotion League
Bavois vs Zurich II
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Bavois
2:3
May 17, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Zurich II
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Bavois
3:2
Apr 20, 2024 Promotion League
Zurich II vs Bavois
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Eleouet A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Zurich II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stiel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fischer P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bavois 44 / 100
Zurich II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bavois Zurich II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bavois or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bavois attacking → ← attacking Zurich II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bavois scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Zurich II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Bavois went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zurich II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 36
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132