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Bay FC W vs Gotham FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Purce M.
Assist: Howell J. M.
7'
Fuller K.
46'
Sub
Purce M. In: Bruninha
Out: Purce M.

AI Match Summary

Gotham FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bay FC W
20%
Draws
57%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gotham FC W have won more games recently than Bay FC W.
  • Win probability leans Gotham FC W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gotham FC W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 18%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay FC W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Gotham FC W
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Bay FC W
3:0
Sep 22, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Gotham FC W
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Bay FC W
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Bay FC W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bay FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Purce M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay FC W 20 / 100
Gotham FC W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay FC W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotham FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bay FC W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gotham FC W let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Bay FC W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bay FC W VS Gotham FC W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bay FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1
Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6

Gotham FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Gotham FC W
1 : 1
Angel City W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
11 Sept
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)