Sport Picks

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Bay FC W vs Gotham FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bay FC W host Gotham FC W in the NWSL Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Gotham FC W have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Bay FC W have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Gotham FC W slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.19) back Gotham FC W to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bay FC W
39%
Draws
31%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gotham FC W have won more games recently than Bay FC W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gotham FC W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay FC W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Bay FC W
3:0
Sep 22, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Gotham FC W
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Bay FC W
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Bay FC W
5:1
May 25, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Gotham FC W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay FC W 31 / 100
Gotham FC W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay FC W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Bay FC W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Bay FC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gotham FC W conceded in 49% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bay FC W VS Gotham FC W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bay FC W

(Home)
25 Jul
Houston Dash W
1 : 0
Bay FC W
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0
North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Bay FC W
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Gotham FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2
Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2
Seattle Reign W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0
Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 3
Gotham FC W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1694321:1231
2Washington Spirit W1593324:1230
3San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
4Portland Thorns FC W1784527:2028
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Orlando Pride W1772822:2123
8Angel City W1471622:1422
9North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Houston Dash W1654719:2419
12Bay FC W1553716:2018
13Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
14Boston Legacy W1644817:2316
15Chicago Stars W1640128:3112
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)