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Bay FC W vs San Diego Wave W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bay FC W host San Diego Wave W in the NWSL Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. San Diego Wave W have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Bay FC W have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, Bay FC W have won 2 to San Diego Wave W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.63) point toward San Diego Wave W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bay FC W
15%
Draws
64%
San Diego Wave W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Diego Wave W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • San Diego Wave W have won more games recently than Bay FC W.
  • Win probability leans San Diego Wave W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 14%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay FC W San Diego Wave W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC W
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:2
May 5, 2025 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC W
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
San Diego Wave W vs Bay FC W
3:1
May 18, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs San Diego Wave W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay FC W 10 / 100
San Diego Wave W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay FC W San Diego Wave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Diego Wave W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bay FC W scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

San Diego Wave W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Bay FC W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bay FC W VS San Diego Wave W
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bay FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1
Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6

San Diego Wave W

(Away)
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
San Diego Wave W
25 Sept
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
19 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Kansas City Current W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
07 Sept
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0
San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)