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Bay Olympic vs Auckland City Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Auckland City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Bay Olympic
15%
Draws
61%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auckland City come out ahead of Bay Olympic on wins alone.
  • Auckland City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Auckland City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bay Olympic Clean Sheet 18%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay Olympic Auckland City
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 4 20
Draws 0 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2022 Chatham Cup
Bay Olympic vs Auckland City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay Olympic 10 / 100
Auckland City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay Olympic Auckland City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay Olympic found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (11 games).

Auckland City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bay Olympic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bay Olympic

(Home)
09 Jul
Bay Olympic
1 : 2
Auckland City
11 Jul
Melville
2 : 1
Bay Olympic
24 Aug
Bay Olympic
0 : 2
Melville
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
06 Jul
Bay Olympic
3 : 0
Manukau United
Page 1 of 3

Auckland City

(Away)
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Dunedin City Royals 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Bay Olympic 1
Auckland City 2
Napier City 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Cashmere Technical 9
Green Island AFC 0
Melville 1
Waiheke United 2
Birkenhead 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Miramar 5
Western Suburbs 1
Auckland United 0
Hamilton 1
Quarter-finals
Dunedin City Royals 0
Auckland City 6
Wellington Olympic 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Waiheke United 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Miramar 3
Hamilton 4
Semi-finals
Auckland City 3
Wellington Olympic 1
Eastern Suburbs 1
Hamilton 0
Final
Auckland City 1
Eastern Suburbs 0