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Bayelsa United vs Bendel

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL Samson Siasia Sports Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bayelsa United play Bendel in the NPFL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bayelsa United averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Bendel averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Bayelsa United won 2, Bendel won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Bayelsa United and 1.25 for Bendel. This points to a Bendel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bayelsa United
33%
Draws
40%
Bendel
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Bayelsa United picked up more points recently compared to Bendel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Bayelsa United Clean Sheet 19%
Bendel Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bayelsa United Bendel
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Bendel
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Bayelsa United
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 NPFL
Bayelsa United vs Bendel
2:1
Oct 17, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Bayelsa United
3:0
Jun 23, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Bayelsa United
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bayelsa United 28 / 100
Bendel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bayelsa United Bendel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bendel or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bayelsa United attacking → ← attacking Bendel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bayelsa United scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Bendel let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bayelsa United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bendel lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 53
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

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1Rangers International381911847:2768
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5Bendel3814141044:3856
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19Bayelsa United3811101737:4243
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